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机器学习饮食质量评分与心血管疾病风险

Machine-learning diet quality score and risk of cardiovascular disease

  • 摘要: 目的:目前营养学领域已建立了多种饮食评分体系用于衡量整体饮食质量,并用于心血管等非传染性慢性疾病的预防和管理。基于现代机器学习技术构建的饮食评分可能包含独立的信息,若结合临床经验构建的饮食评分有望提供更好的膳食建议。方法:本文提出了一种新颖的基于机器学习方法的饮食质量评分(DQS),并研究DQS与健康饮食指数-2015(HEI2015)、地中海饮食评分(MED)、替代健康饮食指数-2010(AHEI)结合后与心血管疾病风险的关联。研究数据来源于美国国家健康与营养调查(NHANES)的2011–2012年至2017–2018年周期。研究人群为年龄在20岁以上成年人,通过参与者自我报告收集食物摄入情况以及相关协变量信息。我们采用弹性网络惩罚回归模型选择重要的食物特征,并使用广义线性回归模型在控制年龄、性别和其他相关协变量后估计相对风险OR和95% 置信区间。结果:共计16756名参与者纳入分析。在调整其他常见饮食评分后,DQS与冠状动脉疾病(CAD)风险显著相关。DQS与HEI2015、MED、AHEI和得舒饮食(DASH)得分结合的OR都在0.900左右,p值小于0.05。在包括所有其他评分的全模型中,DQS的OR值为0.905(95% CI,0.828–0.989,p=0.028<0.05)。结论:基于NHANES连续4个周期的数据,较高的DQS与较低的CAD风险相关。DQS捕获了独立于现有饮食评分的独特预测信息,因此可以作为补充评分系统,进一步改善CAD患者的饮食推荐。

     

    Abstract: Objectives: Various diet scores have been established to measure overall diet quality, especially for the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Diet scores constructed by utilizing modern machine learning techniques may contain independent information and can provide better dietary recommendations in combination with the existing diet scores. Methods: We proposed a novel machine-learning diet quality score (DQS) and examined the performance of DQS in combination with the Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI2015), Mediterranean Diet Score (MED), Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI) and Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension score (DASH score). The data used in this study were from the 2011–2012 to 2017–2018 cycles of the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Participants aged above 20 self-reported their food intake and information on relevant covariates. We used an elastic-net penalty regression model to select important food features and used a generalized linear regression model to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs after controlling for age, sex, and other relevant covariates. Results: A total of 16756 participants were included in the analysis. DQS was significantly associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) risk after adjusting for one of the other common diet scores. The ORs for DQS combined with the HEI2015, MED, AHEI, and DASH scores were all approximately 0.900, with p values smaller than 0.05. The OR for DQS in the full score model including all other scores was 0.905 (95% CI, 0.828–0.989, p=0.028). Only marginal associations were found between DQS and other CVDs after adjusting for other diet scores. Conclusions: Based on data from four continuous cycles of the NHANES, higher DQS was found to be consistently associated with a lower risk of CAD. The DQS captured unique predictive information independent of the existing diet scores and thus can be used as a complementary scoring system to further improve dietary recommendations for CAD patients.

     

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