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度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗一线治疗晚期不可切除肝细胞癌的成本−效用分析

Cost-utility analysis of durvalumab combined with tremelimumab as a first-line treatment for advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

  • 摘要: 目的:评价度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗对比索拉非尼一线治疗晚期不可切除的肝细胞癌(uHCC)的经济性。方法:从我国医疗卫生体系角度出发,基于HIMALAYA临床研究数据,构建分区生存模型对度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗对比索拉非尼一线治疗uHCC的成本和产出进行模拟,采用成本−效用分析法计算两种方案的增量成本−效果比(ICER),并采用单因素敏感性分析和概率敏感性分析检验结果的稳定性。结果: 度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗方案的总成本为152729.04美元,可获得1.96质量调整生命年(QALY);索拉非尼方案的总成本为147406.75美元,可获得1.48 QALYs。度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗对比索拉非尼的ICER为11027.79美元/QALY,低于意愿支付阈值(36622.13美元/QALY)。敏感性分析结果表明基础分析结果稳健。结论:从我国医疗卫生体系角度出发,相较于索拉非尼,度伐利尤单抗联合曲美木单抗一线治疗晚期uHCC具有经济性。

     

    Abstract: Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the cost–effectiveness of durvalumab combined with tremelimumab versus sorafenib as the first-line treatment for advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) from the perspective of China’s healthcare system. Methods: Utilizing data from the HIMALAYA clinical trial, a partitioned survival model was developed to simulate clinical pathways, costs, and outcomes. Incremental cost‒effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated through cost‒utility analysis, with robustness assessed via one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Results: Total costs for the durvalumab‒tremelimumab regimen reached 152,729.04 USD (1.96 quality-adjusted life years, QALYs), whereas they reached 147,406.75 USD (1.48 QALYs) for sorafenib. The ICER of 11,027.79 USD per QALY remained substantially below China’s willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 36,622.13 USD per QALY. Sensitivity analyses confirmed tremelimumab pricing and discount rates as primary determinants of cost‒effectiveness. Conclusion: Within China’s healthcare framework, durvalumab‒tremelimumab is cost effective as a first-line therapy for uHCC, contingent on formulary inclusion and price adjustments.

     

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