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SWAT植被生长模块的修改对亚热带区域蓝水和绿水资源模拟的影响

Impact of modified SWAT plant growth module on modeling green and blue water resources in subtropics

  • 摘要: 区域内水资源可以通过划分蓝水和绿水进行定量分析。其中,植被是影响水文模型中蓝水和绿水评估和建模的关键因素之一。然而,由于SWAT-EPIC最初是为温带地区设计的且基于温度变化估算植被生长,该模块在模拟亚热带植被生长周期方面存在局限性。为了对SWAT模型中植被变化对蓝色和水资源建模的影响进而进行正确且贴近实际的评估,本研究提出了一种利用遥感叶面积指数(LAI)修改SWAT植物生长模块的方法,以解决亚热带植被生长模拟中的控制因子和休眠等问题。基于原始模型和修正模型输出结果,总结了代表性亚热带流域——江西省梅川江流域六种不同植被类型下水文要素(包括降雨、径流、蒸散和土壤含水量)的时空变化。同时,详细分析并讨论了修改后的SWAT模型的有效性以及植被变化对蓝水和绿水模拟结果的影响。结果表明:(Ⅰ)与原始模型相比,改进的SWAT产生了更合理的植物季节曲线。ENS(Nash-Sutcliffe效率)和R2在校准期间增加了0.02,在验证期间分别增加了0.09和0.03。(Ⅱ) 比较原始SWAT和修改SWAT之间的模型输出结果,发现蒸散发对植被变化比绿水资源的其他组分更加敏感。此外,植被对蓝水资源具有保护能力。(Ⅲ) 修改后SWAT模型的输出结果表明,植被的季节变化能够导致森林和非森林之间蓝水和绿水资源变化的显著差异。

     

    Abstract: The dynamics of water availability within a region can be quantitatively analyzed by partitioning the water into blue and green water resources. It is widely recognized that vegetation is one of the key factors that affect the assessment and modeling of blue and green water in hydrological models. However, SWAT-EPIC has limitations in simulating vegetation growth cycles in subtropics because it was originally designed for temperate regions and naturally based on temperature. To perform a correct and realistic assessment of changing vegetation impacts on modeling blue and water resources in the SWAT model, an approach was proposed in this study to modify the SWAT plant growth module with the remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI) to finally solve problems in simulating subtropical vegetation growth, such as controlling factors and dormancy. Comparisons between the original and modified model were performed on the model outputs to summarize the spatiotemporal changes in hydrological processes (including rainfall, runoff, evapotranspiration and soil water content) under six different plant types in a representative subtropical watershed of the Meichuan Basin, Jiangxi Province. Meanwhile, detailed analysis was conducted to discuss the effectiveness of the modified SWAT model and the impacts of vegetation changes on blue and green water modeling. The results showed that (1) the modified SWAT produced more reasonable seasonal curves of plants than the original model. ENS (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) and R2 increased by 0.02 during the calibration period and accounted for an increase of 0.09 and 0.03, respectively, during the validation period. (2) The comparison of model outputs between the original and modified SWAT suggested that evapotranspiration was more sensitive to vegetation changes than other components of green water. In addition, vegetation presented conservation capability in the blue water. (3) The variation in blue and green water resources with different plant types after modifying the SWAT model showed that seasonal changes in vegetation led to a significant difference between forest and non-forest areas.

     

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