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基于网络视角的均值-方差平均扩散:来自中国股市的实证

Average diffusion of mean–variance from a network perspective: Evidence from the Chinese stock market

  • 摘要: 通过构建金融网络,从平均角度研究了股票在\sigma-\mu平面上的运动规律。扩散熵的变化表明,网络系统随时间推移趋向于随机性特征,这为均值-方差最优投资组合的失效提供了理论解释。研究发现,具有较低的波动率和平均收益率的股票在未来可能表现更优。此外,提出了一种基于节点到质心最短路径长度的加权对冲策略,并通过路径优化有效提升了策略绩效。

     

    Abstract: This paper investigates the movement of stocks in the \sigma-\mu plane from a mean perspective by constructing financial networks. The variation in diffusion entropy reveals that the network system tends to exhibit increasing stochasticity over time, which may provide a theoretical explanation for the failure of the mean–variance optimal portfolio. The results show that stocks with lower volatility and lower average returns may perform better in the future. Moreover, we propose a hedging strategy and enhance its performance by assigning portfolio weights based on the shortest path lengths from nodes to the barycenter.

     

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